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In: Donald Trump

The extreme nationalism that is engulfing Europe and that, incidentally, also led to the victory of the Brexit referendum, is a Trump specialty. He didn’t invent it, but in just 18 months, he’s raised it from a large wave to a global tsunami. The president of the United States has spent the week undermining allies from England to Germany to Montenegro. And soon, he’ll top it off by meeting in secret with Vladimir Putin. What could possibly go wrong?Continue Reading

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In: Bibi Netanyahu, Donald Trump, Iran, Syria

As laughable as Netanyahu’s attempt to re-package old news into something new might appear, it’s best to view it with the utmost gravity. This is about more than the nuclear deal. Washington and Jerusalem, with the silent support of Riyadh and other key actors in the region, are united in their goal of regime change in Iran. Changing their course is not impossible, but the work will be difficult and must begin immediately.Continue Reading

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In: Donald Trump, Iran, North Korea

The aftermath of leaving the JCPOA holds no promise. The short-term future is particularly grim precisely because, to paraphrase Macron, Trump believes he can bully other countries into doing what he wants by employing a stick and offering no carrots. That is a recipe for heightened—even if still simmering—tensions at best and outright warfare seeking the quixotic and self-defeating regime change at worst. Trump’s ignorance of world affairs—combined with his newly minted war cabinet—does not promise many best-case scenarios.Continue Reading